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Campbell博士分析不同欧洲国家在2022年的超高死亡率

作者: 撕皮儿剥壳编辑: Spielberg2023-07-15 02:18:46

摘要: 因为问题是多因素的,但人们正在死亡,我的意思是,阅读一些视频的评论,它们真的让人心碎,人们最近失去了生命,但对此几乎没有多少工作正在进行

Dr. John Campbell(John Campbell博士)于2023年7月15日发布了油管视频:European excess deaths(欧洲的过量死亡)

由于油管的政策,很多话题是不允许讨论的,比如关于疫苗的话题,而Campbell博士在本条视频下边特别写了这一段文字:

Vaccine safety: content alleging that vaccines cause chronic side effects, outside of rare side effects that are recognized by health authorities

Claims about COVID-19 vaccinations that contradict expert consensus from local health authorities or WHO

Claims that an approved COVID-19 vaccine will cause death, infertility, miscarriage, autism, or contraction of other infectious diseases

Claims that COVID-19 vaccines will make people who receive them magnetic

对应中文大意:疫苗安全:指控疫苗会引起慢性副作用的内容,超出了卫生部门已认可的罕见副作用范围。

关于COVID-19疫苗的主张,这些主张与当地卫生部门或世界卫生组织的专家共识相矛盾。

声称经批准的COVID-19疫苗会导致死亡、不孕、流产、自闭症或感染其他传染病。

声称COVID-19疫苗会使接种者具有磁性。

Campbell博士在本视频中提到欧洲国家在2022年异乎寻常的高死亡率,其中的特例是罗马尼亚,罗马尼亚在2022年的额外死亡率仅为3.4%,而罗马尼亚的疫苗接种率较低,这或许也从另一个侧面印证了欧洲国家的疫苗灾难程度。以下为 该视频的中文大意:

你好,欢迎来到今天的讲话。7月14日,星期五。现在,我完全没有任何歉意,今天要回到过量死亡的话题上。根据我们所拥有的数据,上周英国的死亡人数比预期高出8.8%。这是英国乃至全世界持续存在的一个问题。今天,我想要看一些欧洲的数据,看看我们能从中学到什么。然而,政府、卫生部门以及主流媒体对此仍然保持着沉默。但我们将继续进行下去,因为有一些想法。我还将发布另一个视频,可能会在今天晚些时候或明天发布,其中我们还将讨论一些来自丹麦的研究,这可能会有所帮助。但让我们简要地看一下目前发生的情况,截至7月30日这周,即2023年的第26周。在英格兰和威尔士注册的死亡人数为10,373人。有趣的是,他们表示其中有129人提到了冠状病毒。因此,这个数字下降了很多。当然,并非所有这些死亡都是由冠状病毒引起的。关于这个比例,我们可以有争议,但这个数字占所有死亡人数的1.2%。官方数据显示,129例死亡与COVID-19有关,而且有61,279例死亡将其记录为潜在原因。对此我并不总是确定,老年人的合并症使情况变得非常复杂,几乎不可能判断。这是一种主观的医学观点。但可以确定的是,与COVID有关的死亡人数明显下降,可能远远低于目前所有死亡人数的1.2%。死亡人数高于五年平均水平,私人住宅为22.9%。所以我们可以看到很多人在家中死亡。现在,你可以认为这是好事,毕竟在家中去世总比在医院中去世好。但这个数字仍然高于我们的预期。医院的比例为6.1%,养老院为3.7%。整个英国的死亡人数,而不仅仅是英格兰和威尔士,为11,763人,比五年平均水平高出8.8%。这种情况持续存在。现在让我们来看看国家统计局发布的有用图表,我们已经研究了一段时间。这是最新更新的版本。黑线,当然,代表我们预期的死亡人数。例如,我们可以看到,在2022年的整个时间段内,死亡人数高于我们在疫情波期间预期的水平。当然,蓝色代表COVID相关的死亡,这并不令人意外。但现在死亡人数仍然高于正常水平,这是我们目前所拥有的最新数据。我们可以看到这条线代表8.8%。所以我们可以看到前一周稍高一些,再前一周稍高一些。现在,我将继续看一些来自欧洲数据的图表。但首先,我只想给你一些欧洲数据的数字。现在,这些数据来自Eurostat。这是收集得很好的数据。欧洲联盟地区在收集数据方面做得很好。这些国家都相当先进,并且有相当成熟的数据收集方法。所以我对这个数据的质量感到非常满意。欧洲联盟在2020年1月至2023年5月之间的过度死亡率。在2020年和2021年的COVID波之后,尽管我们会看到实际情况并非如此。2020年芬兰、挪威和丹麦没有过量死亡。所以斯堪的纳维亚国家与众不同。稍后我们将讨论这其中的原因。不管怎样,以下数据基于2016-2019年我们在疫情前预期的数据。因此,与2016年至2019年相比,欧盟整体数据在2022年1月上升了8.1%,2月上升了8.3%,3月上升了6.7%,4月上升了12%,5月上升了8%,6月上升了8.4%,7月上升了17.4%。这些增幅很高。2022年是Omicron出现的时候,它的致病性要低得多,引起的疾病也要轻得多。我们不能将所有这些死亡归因于COVID,显然大部分死亡与COVID无关。这些都是与其他因素有关的死亡,而且显然我认为这将涉及多个因素。在欧洲联盟中,2023年7月有额外的55.8万人死亡。所以这个17.1%代表了5.8万人的死亡。这绝对是异常的过量死亡水平,而且持续存在。2020年7月,过量死亡率为2.8%,在疫情最严重的时候,这个数字为2.8%。所以我们可以看到还有其他因素在起作用。这并不意味着COVID不是一种危险的疾病,当然是危险的。但它并不能解释大多数这些过量死亡。2021年7月,过量死亡率上升了5.7%,这代表了1.97万人的死亡。因此,与2020年相比,2021年的死亡率有所下降,但与2022年相比则要高得多。在2022年8月,过量死亡率为13.9%,与2022年8月的7.6%相比相当高。

但即使如此,这仍代表了27,300人的死亡。即使在2021年,这个比例也只有9.1%。所以再次看到,2022年的情况是高的。这是2022年的数据,尽管是关于8月的,但请原谅我这个错误。无论如何,2022年9月,上升了10.3%。10月,上升了11.6%。更多的过量死亡。11月、12月,增加了20%。现在,当然,这不仅仅是因为冬天。这比我们预期的十二月份要高。这代表了欧盟在2022年12月新增的92,500人死亡。2022年不是一个好年份。那么我们在2023年的情况如何呢?答案是稍微好一些。1月份,它是3.9%,符合我们的预期。2月份是多年来首次低于预期的1.4%。现在我们预期它在所有时间都应该很低,因为那些脆弱且即将去世的人通常在不久后会因COVID去世。换句话说,COVID可以说是过滤了社会中更脆弱、更易受伤害的人。所以我们实际上预期死亡率会更低。但除了这一个月,我们看到的情况并非如此。三月份,增至0.9%。2023年4月,比预期高出3.3%。即使如此,这也代表了11,900人的额外死亡。五月份,比我们预期高出2.9%。虽然没有达到2022年的高水平,但持续存在。总的来说,2020年1月至2023年5月,与2016年至2019年平均数相比,额外死亡人数达到176.5万人。这是疫情及其影响造成的。共有1,765,000人的额外死亡。高于五年平均水平的死亡人数在2020年上升了11.8%,这在一定程度上是预期的,因为有疫情。2021年上升了14%,这也在一定程度上是预期的。2022年上升了11.1%,与我们的预期不符。不能归因于COVID。而2023年前五个月的平均增幅为1.9%。但我们在2022年看到了不同国家之间的巨大差异。例如,罗马尼亚在2022年有一些...伟大的国家,但在某种程度上较为落后,例如罗马尼亚的疫苗接种率较低。2022年的额外死亡率为3.4%。瑞典有完全不同的封锁政策,2022年的死亡率比预期高出3.9%。匈牙利在某些方面也较为落后,额外死亡率为5.2%。但塞浦路斯、马耳他和芬兰在2022年的过量死亡率都非常高。因此,国家之间存在相当大的差异,这是真实的。在2023年的前五个月,保加利亚的过量死亡率下降了,很好。罗马尼亚的过量死亡率也下降了。波罗的海国家立陶宛的过量死亡率下降了,比预期要少得多。这是尊重每个地方的情况。但在爱尔兰,2023年的过量死亡率比预期高出10.2%。荷兰为9.5%。奥地利为9.3%。因此,我们看到有很多国家的过量死亡率远高于预期,只有少数几个国家的过量死亡率较低,而且过量死亡率较低的地方更多是东欧国家。

现在,让我向您展示一些更多的图表来说明这一点。这是比利时。现在,这是零百分比线。我们可以看到,比利时的死亡人数在很长一段时间内一直高于该线,现在只回升到了接近零的水平。所以对于2023年来说,情况还算不错。但在很长一段时间里,死亡人数一直很高。这是丹麦,很有趣。丹麦的过量死亡人数在2020年5月左右才上升得更高。是的,大约是在2020年5月开始上升的。之前有一个小峰值,可能与COVID有关。但正如我们所看到的,这是2021年的零线。2022年,高点。现在我们可以看到丹麦的死亡人数再次上升。所以这是1月、2月、3月、4月的情况。所以在4月,比利时的死亡率较高,那条线就是加10%的线。所以丹麦的过量死亡率约为9%。这是芬兰。过量死亡率并没有上升得很高。在2020年之前,一直都在零线上。但在2021年、2022年,过量死亡率确实很高。现在我们可以看到,芬兰的最新数据远高于零线。那就是10%的线。远高于预期的10%。但请记住,这是零线。所以如果我将它调整到零线... 是的,零线就在这里。所以您可以看到的所有都远高于2020年、2021年、2022年的过量死亡。

现在在2023年的4月份再次达到高峰。这是法国,再次出现了类似的模式,很长时间内高于零线,而这是我们不会预期的情况。那个是德国,同样那是零线,所以我们看到在2022年的大部分时间内,死亡率高于平均水平,而这也是我们不会预期的。爱尔兰,正如我们所见,目前的死亡率相当高,远高于我们对2022年的预期。意大利目前幸运地保持较低的水平,这是好事,但在2021年和2022年,死亡率很高。荷兰也是如此,长时间内死亡率较高。现在,我在这里将罗马尼亚与欧洲平均水平进行了比较。欧洲平均水平是深蓝色的,而罗马尼亚是浅蓝色的。所以我们看到,在疫情期间,罗马尼亚的高峰期比欧盟更高,罗马尼亚的疫苗接种率确实较低。但我们又看到,在整个2022年,罗马尼亚的死亡率始终低于欧盟。这是否有什么可以从中学到的呢?这是一个有趣的问题。

那个是西班牙,那是零百分比线,所以我们看到西班牙在2021年和2022年的死亡率更高。最后一个是瑞典,采取了不同的封锁措施,所以我们看到在瑞典,尽管情况确实较高。但尽管只是有限的封锁,实际上并没有封锁。只是提供了建议,我们看到在欧盟的死亡率要高得多,事实上,与瑞典相比,欧盟的死亡率一直较高,欧盟平均水平是深蓝色,而瑞典是橙色。所以在许多方面,瑞典做得更好。

所以有很多因素可以讨论。但不幸的是,有一些因素我们无法公开讨论。封锁因素,当然还有人们无法获得医疗保健、孤立、抑郁、缺乏社交联系等。所有这些都将是重要的因素。在疫情期间未能给予的药物干预措施,以及可能在疫情期间给予但通常不会给予的药物干预措施。我们在这里并不试图提出任何观点。我们只是说我们需要能够考虑到一切。所以这就是我在这个视频中想要说的。在一个完全不同的话题上,这是YouTube关于疫苗安全的社区准则。警示内容指出疫苗会引起罕见的副作用以外的慢性副作用。声称新冠疫苗会引起...所以我们不能说经批准的新冠疫苗会引起这些问题。我们并不是说它会引起所有这些问题。能够讨论这些问题当然是好的,但我们不能讨论这些问题,不能讨论那些问题。当然,我最近遭到了一次警告,这个问题还在困扰着我。

在同一页面,我们也不允许对磁性提出主张。这真是奇怪,合理讨论的事情与明显荒诞无稽的事情混为一谈。但这是我们目前工作所面临的限制。所以我并不试图提出任何特定的观点。我只是恳求进行自由和开放的讨论,因为问题是多因素的,但人们正在死亡。我的意思是,阅读一些视频的评论。它们真的让人心碎。人们最近失去了生命,但对此几乎没有多少工作正在进行。现在,在下一个视频中,我们将与来自丹麦的Vivica Manika博士进行交谈,她正在从这个领域工作。所以请关注下一个视频,它真的非常有趣。

我可能会给你一些其他视频的反馈。但这些视频的一些反馈确实非常感人。如果有任何学者在场,你可以选择其中任何一个视频,并对它们的反馈进行定性分析,这将非常有启发性。因为在所有发表评论的人中,既有很多智慧,也有很多数据。所以请继续发表评论,并继续阅读它们。它们非常有启发性。但暂时就是这样。这些图表需要解释,但我就说到这里。感谢您的观看。我们将继续监测这些超额死亡。英国仍然是8.8%。这是一个很高的数字。谢谢您的观看。

以下为该视频的英文全文:

Hello and welcome to today's talk. Friday, the 14th of July. Now, I make no apology at all today for returning to the topic of excess deaths. The last week that we have data for in the United Kingdom, deaths were 8.8 percent higher than we would expect for the time of year. This is just an ongoing issue in the United Kingdom and indeed around the world. And today, I want to be looking at some European data and seeing what we can learn from this. It is still greeted by a deafening silence from government, from health authorities, and pretty well universally from mainstream media. But we're going to keep on with it because there are some ideas. I've got another video coming out, probably later today or tomorrow, where we talk about some research from Denmark as well, which might help. But let's just look at briefly what's going on at the moment, weekending the 30th of July, this week, 26th, 2023. 10,373 deaths were registered in England and Wales. Now, interestingly, they're saying 129 of these mentioned coronavirus. So this number's way down. And of course, not all of these were from coronavirus. Well, we could argue about the proportion, but it's 1.2 percent of all deaths. The official data is saying that the 129 deaths involved with COVID-19, 61,279 said this recorded as the underlying cause. Not always sure about that. I think very often it's so wrapped up with comorbidities in old age. It's really quite difficult, pretty well impossible to tell. It's a rather subjective medical opinion. But what we can say for sure is that the COVID deaths are way, way down, probably well under 1.2 percent of all deaths at the moment. The number of deaths was above the five-year average, private homes 22.9 percent. So we see a lot of people are dying at home. Now, you could argue that this is good. It's always better to die at home than die in a hospital. But it's still higher than we would expect. Hospitals at 6.1 percent, care homes at 3.7 percent. The number of deaths registered in the UK as a whole, not just England and Wales, 11,763, 8.8 percent above the five-year average. This is persisting. Now let's look at the useful graphic published by the Office for National Statistics that we've looked at for some time now. This is the latest updated version. The black line, of course, is the deaths we would expect. And, for example, we see that throughout 2022, which we'll be looking at again in a minute, the deaths were higher than we would have expected during the pandemic waves. Of course, the blue COVID deaths there, less surprising. But the deaths carrying on now in excess levels, these are the most recent figures that we have. And we see that they are consistently high. So this represents here, this line here represents 8.8 percent. So we can see it was a little higher the week before, a little higher the week before. Now, I'm going to go on and look at some graphics from European data in a minute. But I just want to give you some figures from the European data first of all. Now, this is the data. It's from Eurostat. It's well-collected data. The European Union area is good at collecting data. They're all fairly advanced countries with pretty well-established data collecting methodologies. So pretty happy with this quality of data. Excess mortality in the European Union between January 2020 and May 2023. Now, it followed the COVID waves in 2020 and 2021, although, as we'll see, not really. There was no excess deaths in Finland, Norway, and Denmark in 2020. So the Scandinavian countries were a bit different. More on why that might be later. Anyway, the following data was based on the 2016-2019 that we would expect in the pre-pandemic years. So compared to 2016 to 2019, EU data for a whole, as a whole, January 2022, it was up by 8.1 percent. February, 8.3 percent. March, it was up by 6.7 percent. April, it was up by 12 percent. May, it was up by 8 percent. June, it was up by 8.4 percent. July, it was up by 17.4 percent. Now, these are high increases. 2022 is when Omicron was around, way less pathogenic, caused much less severe disease. We can't attribute any, well, we contribute some of these deaths to COVID, obviously, but the majority not. These are none directly COVID-related deaths. They're due to other factor or factors. And obviously, I think it's going to be factors, several factors. Now, 558,000 additional deaths in the European Union in July. So this July figure here.

This 17.1 percent represents 58,000 deaths. This is absolutely astronomical levels of excess deaths ongoing, a bit particularly so in 2022 when we wouldn't have expected it. 2.8 percent in July 2020, so in July 2020, in the pandemic year, before any vaccination, of course, it was 2.8 percent. So when the vaccination program had been rolled out, when Omicron was there, when there had been lots of herd immunity, the excess death was 17.1 percent in July 2020. At the height of the pandemic, it was 2.8 percent. So we see that there are other factors here going on. This is not just... No one's saying that COVID's not a dangerous disease, of course it is. But it's not accounting for most of these excess deaths. It was 5.7 percent higher in July 2021. That represents 19,700 deaths. So higher in 2021, lower in 2020, but much higher in 2022. In August 2022, the excess deaths were 13.9 percent. So pretty high again, compared to 7.6 percent in August 2022. But even that represented 27,300 deaths. And even in 2021, it was only 9.1 percent. So again, in 2022, we see it's high. This is 2022 data, apart from the fact that it's about August, wrong, but please excuse me for that. September, anyway, September 2022, 10.3 percent. October, 11.6 percent. More excess deaths. November, December, a huge 20 percent. Now, of course, this is not just because it's winter. This is higher than we would expect for Decembers. That represents 92,500 additional deaths in December 2022 in the European Union. 2022 was not a good year. How are we doing in 2023? The answer is slightly better. January, it was 3.9 percent, what we would expect. February is the first time in several years it was actually 1.4 percent below. Now we would expect it to be low all the time, because the people that were vulnerable and were about to die would have been... would have succumbed to COVID typically shortly before they were going to die anyway. So in other words, COVID would expect to filter out, if you like, the weaker, more vulnerable members of society. So we'd actually expect death rates to be lower. But it's not what we're seeing, apart from this one month. March, it's gone up to plus 0.9 percent. April 2023, 3.3 percent higher than we would expect. And even that represents 11,900 additional deaths. May, it's 2.9 percent above what we would expect. So persisting if not quite at the high numbers of 2022. Altogether, January 2020 to May 2023, 1.765 million additional deaths compared with the average numbers from 2016 to 2019. So pandemic and the effects that go with the pandemic. One million, 765,000 additional deaths. The deaths higher than the five-year average were 11.8 percent higher in 2020, somewhat expected because of the pandemic. 2021, 14 percent higher, somewhat expected because of the pandemic. 2022, 11.1 percent higher, not what we would expect. Can't be attributed to COVID. And the first five months of 2023 average out at 1.9 percent. But what we do see in 2022 is a big variation between countries as well. So Romania, for example, somewhat... Great country, but somewhat less sophisticated, lower vaccination rates, for example, in Romania. 3.4 percent additional deaths in 2022. Sweden, with a completely different set of policies as regards lockdown, 3.9 percent deaths higher than you would expect in 2022. Hungary, again, somewhat less advanced in some ways, 5.2 percent. But Cyprus, Malta, and Finland, all very high excess deaths in 2022. So a fair variation between countries, that's true. Quite a big variation between countries. We need to look at those factors and see how that's explained. In the first five months of 2023, excess deaths in Bulgaria are down, good. Excess deaths in Romania are down. The Baltic Lithuania, excess deaths are down, less, quite a bit less than we would expect. This is, which respects everywhere. But in Ireland, excess deaths for 2023 are 10.2 percent above what we would expect. Netherlands, 9.5 percent. In Austria, 9.3 percent above what we would expect. So we are seeing excess deaths in quite a few countries much higher than we would expect, lower only in a few countries, and where it's lower is more that Eastern European countries.

Now, let me just show you a few more graphics that illustrate that. This is Belgium. Now, this is the zero percent line here. So we see that Belgium again has been above for quite a lot of the time, now only going back up to about zero. So far, so good for 2023 in Belgium.

But has been really quite high for long periods of time. This is Denmark, interesting. The excess deaths in Denmark didn't go up that much higher until about May. Yeah, that's about May 2020. This started going up. There was a small peak before that, probably COVID-related. But as we see, that's the zero line there for 2021. 2022, high. And now we see Denmark has increased again. So that's January, February, March, April. So higher death rates in Belgium in April, and that line there is the plus 10 percent line. So about nine percent excess deaths in Denmark. This is Finland again. Excess deaths didn't go up that much. There's the zero percent line up until into 2020. But 2021, 2022, really quite high. And now we can see in Finland, the latest data is well above. That's the 10 percent line. Well above 10 percent, above what we would expect. But bear in mind that this is the zero line here. So if I just bring this down to the zero line... Yeah, that's the zero line is there. So everything that you can see is well above, is excess deaths through 2020, or 2021, 2022.

And now peaked again in April, April-May 2023. This is France, again similar pattern, well above the zero line for much of the time when we wouldn't expect it. That one is Germany, and again that's the zero line there so again we see above-average rates for much of 2022 when we wouldn't expect it. Ireland, as we've seen, is quite high at the moment, well above what we would expect for 2022 again. Italy is thankfully low at the moment, so that's maintained, but it has been high for 2021 and 2022. That one is Netherlands, again higher during long periods of time. Now, here I've put in Romania with the European average. European average is the and this is what European average should be doing a lot of these sort of comparative studies. Because this is quite interesting, we have the European Union in dark blue and Romania in light blue. So what we see is the peaks, during the pandemic, the peaks in Romania were higher than in the European Union, they do have a lower vaccination rate in Romania. But then we see that all throughout 2022, the death rates in Romania were consistently lower than in the European Union. Is there anything to be learned from? That is an interesting question.

That one is Spain again that's the zero percent line there, so Spain we see is higher in 2021 and 2022. And this last one here is Sweden with a different lockdown approach, so what we see in Sweden, despite the limo okay it was higher there. But despite the Limited lockdowns, well they weren't locked down really. It was just advisory we see the death rates were much higher in the European Union, and indeed the death rates have stayed much higher in the European Union, average in dark blue, compared to Sweden in the orangey color there. So Sweden in many ways has done much better.

So variety of factors that we can discuss. And there's some factors that we can't openly discuss, unfortunately. Lockdown factors, of course, people not accessing healthcare, the isolation, the depression, the lack of social contact. All of these are going to be big factors. Pharmaceutical interventions that weren't given during the pandemic, and possibly pharmaceutical interventions that were given during the pandemic that weren't normally given. We're not trying to make any point here. We're just saying we need to be able to account for everything. So that's all I want to say in this video. On a completely separate topic, these are the YouTube Community Guidelines on vaccine safety. A content alerting that vaccines cause chronic side effects outside of the rare side effects that are recognized by the health authorities. Claims about COVID-19 vaccines that contradict expert consensus from local health authorities or the World Health Organization. We can't contradict the World Health Organization. Mustn't contradict the World Health Organization, and mustn't get mad about it either. Claims that approved COVID-19 vaccines will cause, so we can't say that an approved COVID-19 vaccine will cause that or that or that. We're not saying it does cause all these. It would be nice to be able to talk about it, but we can't talk about those things. Not allowed to talk about those. Of course, I've got one strike recently, and that's kind of still hanging over me.

And on the same page, we're also not allowed to make claims about magnetism. It’s just bizarre that things that could be legitimately talked about are put on with things that are clearly Looney Tune nonsense. But that's the constraints we're currently working under. So I'm not trying to make any particular point. I'm just pleading for a free and open discussion because it's multifactorial, but people are dying. I mean, read the comments of some of the videos. They're just heartbreaking. People have been lost recently, and very little work being done about it. Now, in the next video, we are going to be talking to Dr. Vivica Manika, who is working on this front from Denmark. So tune in for the next video. It's really quite interesting.

And I might give you some feedback from other videos as well. But some of the feedback on these videos really is quite moving. And if there's any academics out there, you could take any one of these videos and do a qualitative analysis on the feedback of them, and it would be quite enlightening. Because between all of the people that are making comments, there's a lot of wisdom, but there's a lot of data as well. So please keep leaving the comments, and please keep reading them. They are very informative. But that's us for now. These graphs do need to be explained, but I'll leave it there. And thank you for watching. We will continue to monitor these excess deaths. Still 8.8 percent in the UK. It's high numbers. Thank you for watching.

参考链接:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ovyI17TYaP8

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